Senin, 30 Agustus 2010

[D780.Ebook] PDF Ebook Liquidity Risk Management: A Practitioner's Perspective (Wiley Finance), by Shyam Venkat, Stephen Baird

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Liquidity Risk Management: A Practitioner's Perspective (Wiley Finance), by Shyam Venkat, Stephen Baird

The most up-to-date, comprehensive guide on liquidity risk management—from the professionals

Written by a team of industry leaders from the Price Waterhouse Coopers Financial Services Regulatory Practice, Liquidity Risk Management is the first book of its kind to pull back the curtain on a global approach to liquidity risk management in the post-financial crisis. Now, as a number of regulatory initiatives emerge, this timely and informative book explores the real-world implications of risk management practices in today's market.

Taking a clear and focused approach to the operational and financial obligations of liquidity risk management, the book builds upon a foundational knowledge of banking and capital markets and explores in-depth the key aspects of the subject, including governance, regulatory developments, analytical frameworks, reporting, strategic implications, and more. The book also addresses management practices that are particularly insightful to liquidity risk management practitioners and managers in numerous areas of banking organizations.

  • Each chapter is authored by a Price Waterhouse Coopers partner or director who has significant, hands-on expertise
  • Content addresses key areas of the subject, such as liquidity stress testing and information reporting
  • Several chapters are devoted to Basel III and its implications for bank liquidity risk management and business strategy
  • Includes a dedicated, current, and all-inclusive look at liquidity risk management

Complemented with hands-on insight from the field's leading authorities on the subject, Liquidity Risk Management is essential reading for practitioners and managers within banking organizations looking for the most current information on liquidity risk management.

  • Sales Rank: #1253257 in Books
  • Published on: 2016-03-28
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 9.30" h x 1.00" w x 6.30" l, .0 pounds
  • Binding: Hardcover
  • 304 pages

From the Inside Flap

While the credit profile of a loan portfolio can take months or years to deteriorate, liquidity can disappear in just hours, which is why effectively managing liquidity risk takes a specialized body of knowledge and an up-to-date skillset. Now, Liquidity Risk Management gives bankers, asset managers, regulators, and academics in-depth access to subject matter specialists at the global professional services firm of PricewaterhouseCoopers (PwC) on several aspects of this critical component of financial risk management.

Each chapter is written by a partner or director in PwC's Financial Services Advisory practice with significant, hands-on expertise in liquidity risk management. Collectively, these highly focused, in-depth treatments create an essential reference that describes evolving industry practices and advanced approaches to liquidity risk management in the post-financial crisis environment. Written for serious practitioners who want to understand how liquidity risk management should operate in today's environment and where their institutions are leading or falling behind the pack, this reliable guidebook looks at the latest regulatory agenda and details how a well-conceived and robustly implemented liquidity risk management framework aligns with, and can even inform, supervisory expectations.

Enhance and optimize your institution's liquidity risk management capabilities through:

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  • A big-picture road map of the regulatory environment, including the latest on Basel III and other developments anticipated in areas of liquidity stress testing and reporting
  • Industry approaches to including liquidity considerations in product design, funds transfer pricing, management incentives, and other mechanisms to meet the challenge of aligning business activities with regulatory oversight

It isn't too late to fully upgrade your framework design, process, management and oversight, and technology capabilities with Liquidity Risk Management.

From the Back Cover

Practical insights into liquidity risk management—now and into the future

Liquidity Risk Management is a practitioner's guide to exploring the key aspects of liquidity risk management, including governance, regulatory developments, analytical frameworks, reporting, data and infrastructure, and strategic implications.

Culled from the extensive experiences of PricewaterhouseCoopers's client delivery teams, this in-depth guide features an informative and diverse collection of real world knowledge and firsthand perspectives on the evolution of liquidity risk management practices and the direction of their future-state designs. This compendium on liquidity risk management provides insights that can help firms leverage their liquidity risk management capabilities and enhance competitive positioning with:

  • A deep understanding of the impact regulation has on liquidity risk management and the importance of maintaining an internal management-driven agenda fueled by a continual enhancement of the firm's capabilities
  • An integrated framework for managing liquidity risk that considers linkages with other risk types as well as core business drivers such as strategic planning, incentives, and profitability measurement
  • Industry-proven insights into building an infrastructure to efficiently automate the capture, storage, and transformation of data to enhance management decision-making

About the Author

SHYAM VENKAT is a PwC principal in the firm's Financial Services Advisory practice in the U.S. He specializes in treasury and risk management for both financial services and non-financial services clients. He is a founding member of PwC's risk practice.

STEPHEN BAIRD is a PwC director in the firm's Financial Services Advisory practice. He specializes in treasury and risk management for financial institutions.

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Sabtu, 28 Agustus 2010

[Z223.Ebook] Ebook Free The Complete Worst-Case Scenario Survival Handbook, by Joshua Piven, David Borgenicht

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The Complete Worst-Case Scenario Survival Handbook, by Joshua Piven, David Borgenicht

The worst of the worst, all in one place! This deluxe desk reference includes a hardbound volume of the most popular scenarios from all 11 Worst-Case Scenario handbooks, plus the entire contents of all the books on a fully searchable CD. Avoid the perils of mountain lions and blind dates, avalanches and teenage driving lessons, runaway golf carts and Christmas turkeys on firea remedy for every crisis the worst-case experts have anticipated is now only a click away. The CD also contains newly created extra features: screensavers, e-cards, wallpaper, and more. Boasting more than 500pages, this sturdy addition to the Worst-Case Scenario library could stop a bulletjust one more way to be prepared for the worst.

  • Sales Rank: #77757 in Books
  • Brand: Piven, Joshua/ Borgenicht, David/ Grace, Jim (CON)/ Jordan, Sarah (CON)
  • Published on: 2007-11-01
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 7.25" h x 2.00" w x 6.00" l, 1.34 pounds
  • Binding: Hardcover
  • 512 pages
Features
  • Sports & Recreation

About the Author
Joshua Piven and David Borgenicht, authors of The Worst-Case Scenario Survival Handbook series, live life on the edge in the wilds of Philadelphia.

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35 of 36 people found the following review helpful.
For All Those Times You Wanted To Know What To Do When Your Elevator Was On The Freefall
By Flap Jackson
Do you feel your child is about to go into the world without all the "necessary" skills? Do you feel your loved one isn't adequately prepared to face life's most daunting challenges? Have you ever wondered what to do if you're stuck on a raising drawbridge? Are you so paranoid that you look for an escape to every situation? If you answered yes to any and/or all of these questions, then buy this book, NOW! This is your bible to every worst-case situation that life may throw at you, and more.

But don't think this is strictly a humor book, and sure it may contain some of that, like how to escape from a costumed character/mascot, or you should escape a meeting by crawling under the table, but there's plenty of serious entries to go along. For example, if your elevator is plummeting, something I fear all the time, then you should lie flat on your stomach to distribute the force. They do go to experts for many of these entries, and although I wouldn't like to test any of them, I'm sure they're pretty useful in the situation.

It's the best-of the long-time series, sure to help with most any predicament you may find yourself in. And for further reference, this edition contains a CD with ever scenario, in full, complete with a few wallpapers and screensavers for good measure. Just be warned, every scenario is in Adobe Acrobat format, which I hate since it's such a difficult program to navigate.

Overall, you can't go wrong in giving this as a gift to somebody, whether you're giving it to them for practical or enjoyment purposes. I highly recommend it for any rainy day, paranoid people, or anybody who just ever wondered what to do if... well, you get the point.

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Great read
By Tom Sjoberg
Great read. Gives a lot of advice on how to survive different situations. Could really help you out in emergency.

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Five Stars
By Glenn H. Lodge Jr.
Good book for the coffee table or bathroom

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Jumat, 20 Agustus 2010

[U492.Ebook] Download Ebook The Structure of Scientific Revolutions: 50th Anniversary Edition, by Thomas S. Kuhn

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The Structure of Scientific Revolutions: 50th Anniversary Edition, by Thomas S. Kuhn

A good book may have the power to change the way we see the world, but a great book actually becomes part of our daily consciousness, pervading our thinking to the point that we take it for granted, and we forget how provocative and challenging its ideas once were―and still are. The Structure of Scientific Revolutions is that kind of book. When it was first published in 1962, it was a landmark event in the history and philosophy of science. Fifty years later, it still has many lessons to teach.

With The Structure of Scientific Revolutions, Kuhn challenged long-standing linear notions of scientific progress, arguing that transformative ideas don’t arise from the day-to-day, gradual process of experimentation and data accumulation but that the revolutions in science, those breakthrough moments that disrupt accepted thinking and offer unanticipated ideas, occur outside of “normal science,” as he called it. Though Kuhn was writing when physics ruled the sciences, his ideas on how scientific revolutions bring order to the anomalies that amass over time in research experiments are still instructive in our biotech age.

This new edition of Kuhn’s essential work in the history of science includes an insightful introduction by Ian Hacking, which clarifies terms popularized by Kuhn, including paradigm and incommensurability, and applies Kuhn’s ideas to the science of today. Usefully keyed to the separate sections of the book, Hacking’s introduction provides important background information as well as a contemporary context. Newly designed, with an expanded index, this edition will be eagerly welcomed by the next generation of readers seeking to understand the history of our perspectives on science.

  • Sales Rank: #506818 in Books
  • Published on: 2016-02-23
  • Released on: 2016-02-23
  • Formats: Audiobook, MP3 Audio, Unabridged
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 6.75" h x .50" w x 5.25" l,
  • Running time: 10 Hours
  • Binding: MP3 CD

Review

“Like Thomas Kuhn, Ian Hacking has a gift for clear exposition. His introduction provides a helpful guide to some of the thornier philosophical issues. . . . We may still admire Kuhn’s dexterity in broaching challenging ideas with a fascinating mix of examples from psychology, history, philosophy, and beyond. We need hardly agree with each of Kuhn’s propositions to enjoy—and benefit from—this classic book.”
(David Kaiser Nature)

"The Structure of Scientific Revolutions did a gestalt flip on just about every assumption about the who, how, and what of scientific progress. . . . The book still vibrates our culture’s walls like a trumpet call. History of science may not have become exactly what Kuhn thought it should, but The Structure of Scientific Revolutions knocked it off its existing tracks.”
(Chronicle of Higher Education)

“So long as there are still paradigms among us, the achievements of Thomas Kuhn will be remembered.”
(National Post (Canada))

“One of the most influential books of the 20th century. . . . Singlehandedly changed the way we think about mankind’s most organized attempt to understand the world.”
(Guardian)

“The Kuhnian image of science has reshaped our understanding of the scientific enterprise and human inquiry in general. If you haven’t already read The Structure of Scientific Revolutions, the publication of this inexpensive 50th-anniversary edition offers a perfect excuse to do so.”
(Science)

About the Author
Thomas S. Kuhn (1922–96) was the Laurence Rockefeller Professor Emeritus of linguistics and philosophy at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology. His books include The Essential Tension; Black-Body Theory and the Quantum Discontinuity, 1894–1912; and The Copernican Revolution.

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32 of 36 people found the following review helpful.
A classic that is still very much worth reading
By Wayne P.
First, let me state the obvious - since Kuhn is talking about the philosophy of science, this is not light reading. That said, this book is as relevant as it was when it was first published - perhaps more so. Kuhn makes a well-reasoned argument that science is not an objective search for "truth," as many people believe. Instead, "normal science" is a problem solving endeavor, solving known problems by known methods. Science only changes the rules by which it operates (its "paradigm" - that over-used and often misused term in contemporary language) only when the current paradigm causes more problems than it solves. This is the real answer to any from any field who say, "The science is settled. There is no room for discussion." Those who make that statement need to re-read Kuhn and come to grips with the reality that all knowledge is inevitably socially constructed. If you read this in graduate school, it is worth revisiting. If you have never read it and you are ready for some deep thinking, dive in. You will find your horizons expanded, and that is a good thing.

13 of 14 people found the following review helpful.
Re-readable, relevant, and revolutionary
By Kerri Laryea
Have you ever wondered what makes one scientific experiment considered a breakthrough while others simply place more pieces into the puzzle? Thomas Kuhn's book, The Structure of Scientific Revolutions, now in its 50th anniversary edition, withstands the test of time in its relevance to today's world of science. In addition to popularizing the phrase "paradigm shift", this book addresses the philosophy of science by questioning the assumption that scientific discovery is a linear progression toward the truth, as history might lead you to believe.

As the title suggests, this book thoughtfully presents a structure to scientific revolutions starting with an explanation of how "normal science" (versus great moments in science) operates to clarify an accepted model or pattern, which then serves to establish a paradigm. When the problem solving of normal science leads to anomalies that can no longer be explained within the established paradigm, crisis ensues. Finally, this crisis is resolved through the establishment of a new paradigm. Kuhn is clear that this structure of scientific revolutions is not a process leading toward the truth, but more of a process of evolution from "primitive beginnings." This book offers deep insight that applies beyond the field of science. You don't need to be a scientist to grasp the transformational thoughts presented by Kuhn.

132 of 169 people found the following review helpful.
Science without Measurements
By David Butler
Science without Measurements
A review of Thomas Kuhn's The Structure of Scientific Revolutions
50th Anniversary Edition
By David Butler

I am a retired computer scientist educated in math and physics with a Master of Science degree from Oxford University where I studied the mathematical foundations for quantum mechanics in the early 1970s. One of my sons is a PhD student studying the philosophy of religion. He told me that he read a book that shows science is not an accumulative endeavor leading closer and closer to the true nature of the physical world. This went against what I had come to believe, so I had to read the book: The Structure of Scientific Revolutions by Thomas Kuhn.

At first I didn't know what to make of it. I was struck by Kuhn's negativity towards scientists (puzzle solver, slaves, addicts, etc.). But there was a deeper message in his story that I wanted to understand, so I put the derogatory comments aside. What I found was a very interesting attempt to put science on the same footing as other disciplines. Let me explain.

Science is the systematic study of nature. Nature is its anchor. It constrains theories. It judges paradigms. It is an absolute task master. And its secrets are extremely hard to unravel. Over time, engineering advances have created new instruments and improved their sensitivity: the telescope, the microscope, the spectrascope, colliders, MRI machines, etc. These instruments reveal more and more of nature's secrets. And as they do, old paradigms are lost, and new paradigms are created to explain the new phenomena. But science sets up previous paradigms as boundary conditions via Bohr's `Correspondence Principle'. Kuhn, with a PhD in physics, is very familiar with this principle and had to use it in both relativity and quantum mechanics. It's not an accident that Kuhn never mentioned this principle.

The existence of multiple simultaneous conflicting paradigms is not permitted by nature. This is not a constraint in other fields such as philosophy, history, art, music, literature, law, and economics to name a few. Removing nature as a task master for science frees the mind. It puts science on a similar footing to philosophy. It makes Aristotle's paradigm (he did not measure things) equal with Galileo's (he did measure things). Having established the legitimacy of all paradigms, the concept of steady or even unsteady progress towards the truth could be removed from our understanding of science.

It only takes some examples from the text to show how Kuhn's did this. I'll cover 1) his goal to show scientific advancement is an illusion, 2) his view of scientists as slaves to absolute arbitrary paradigm laws established by men and not nature, and 3) his attempt to separate scientific revolutions (paradigm shifts) from the nature of nature.

On Kuhn's goal

On page 1, Kuhn writes that, using history, we can "produce a decisive transformation in the image of science" from what we have today (1960s). The view to be transformed is that science is on a cumulative path to the truth about nature. Referring to scientists, Kuhn states that "we have been misled by them in fundamental ways." The first part of this statement identifies Kuhn's goal. The second part is the first of many unsubstantiated disparaging remarks about scientists that you'll find in this book.

On scientists as slaves to the paradigm

Kuhn goes after this idea in two ways. First, he attacks science textbooks. Second, he plays up the strength of the rules associated with a paradigm to make them look absolute, leaving little room for scientists to think for themselves.

On Science textbooks:

* [page 5] Science textbooks are rigid and "exert a deep hold on the scientific mind." And [page 80] "Science students accept theories on the authority of teacher and text, not because of evidence."

o This was not my experience. We had labs for physics, chemistry and biology - not just text to study.

* [page 81] Kuhn provides the following as evidence for his claims about science textbooks: "If applications were set forth as evidence, than the very failure of texts to suggest alternative interpretations or to discuss problems for which scientists have failed to produce paradigm solutions would convict their authors of extreme bias."

o The textbooks that I read pointed out: 1) that we do not yet have a satisfactory theory of light that would bring both the particle and wave natures together; 2) that relativity theory fails to mesh with quantum mechanics; 3) there may be deeper theories that won't need statistical mechanics to explain nature the way quantum mechanics does; etc. I can't accuse Kuhn of ignorance on this subject. He read the same texts and used them to teach others.

* [page 142] Here Kuhn concludes his attack on science textbooks. Referring to the consequences of their misleading text, he writes "More than any other single aspect of science, that pedagogic form has determined our image of the nature of science and of the role of discovery and invention in its advance."

o But only scientists read science textbooks. The general public's view that science is progressing towards the truth has come from another source altogether - could it be the absolutely stunning success science has had explaining the world they exist in.

On Paradigm rules as straightjackets for the mind:

* [page 24] Kuhn describes normal science as `mopping up' and that it "seems an attempt to force nature into the preformed and relatively inflexible box that the paradigm supplies."

o It's important to note at this point that Kuhn includes the following discoveries as mopping up: discovering a cure for cancer; discovering the black holes at the center of most galaxies; discovering DNA; etc. Are these just fillers designed to distort nature to support the current paradigms?

* [page 38] On normal science as `puzzle solving', Kuhn writes "On most occasions, any particular field of specialization offers nothing else to do, a fact that makes it no less fascinating to the proper sort of addict."

o Again, `puzzle solving' (aka mopping up) includes discovering a cure for cancer. How can this be interpreted as "fascinating to the proper sort of addict"? When I came across this claim, I understood why his book was dismissed by virtually the entire scientific community. It had lost its sense of objectivity and descended into a rather vindictive diatribe.

* [page 39] In attempting to demonstrate that the rules of a paradigm are absolute, he gives an example of a scientist building an optical wavelength measuring machine. If all doesn't go as dictated by the paradigm, Kuhn speculates that "his colleagues may well conclude that he has measured nothing at all."

o Kuhn misses the real life example of Joseph Fraunhofer's invention of the spectroscope. His machine showed hundreds of dark lines across the spectrum of light from the Sun. No one knew what these were. They did not fit into the existing paradigm. But they were not ignored. They were called Fraunhofer lines and research into their nature lasted 45 years before quantum mechanics finally came up with an answer. This shows that Kuhn's speculation that Fraunhofer's "colleagues may well conclude that he has measured nothing at all" is incorrect.

* [page 39] Another example on the same page tries to point out how far scientists will go to preserve an existing paradigm. He chose the 17th century attempts to get the Moon's orbit to fit Newton's equations when a change in the paradigm would have sufficed. Interestingly, this problem was solved within the paradigm [page40]. You'll find repeated references to this idea throughout the book, noting that he has demonstrated the lengths scientists will go to try make new facts fit the existing paradigm. All of them are designed to show that scientific facts are just contortions of nature to fit a preconceived theory and not facts at all.

o Obvious counterexamples familiar to Kuhn are ignored. The one I like is when the orbit of Uranus failed to fit Newton's equations. Some scientists worked to replace Newton's paradigm, and others predicted the existence and location for a new planet further out from the Sun that would explain the data in a way that fits the paradigm. This planet was indeed found - Neptune! Is Neptune a fiction - just another attempt by scientists to contort nature into their view of the world? After Voyager's visit to the planet, I thing even Kuhn would have to grudgingly admit that the planet exists.

* [page 147] Kuhn uses an example to show that the power of the paradigm can actually limit the "permissible questions" that can be asked.

o If you change the word permissible to reasonable, you'd be closer to the way it is. For example, now that we know the Earth is rotating, is it reasonable to ask "What is the velocity of distant stars as they journey around the Earth each day?"

In the final analysis, based on my personal experience and the experience of other scientists, paradigm law, so absolute in Kuhn's writings, are as Captain Barbossa in Pirates of the Caribbean said so well, just guidelines.

And most importantly, on the separation of scientific revolutions (paradigm shifts) from the nature of nature:

On page 5, Kuhn points out that scientific research is a "strenuous and devoted attempt to force nature into the conceptual boxes" established by the current paradigm. His case for this is to be made in sections III, IV and V. Here we get a look at how Kuhn plans to make the case that the nature of nature is distorted by scientists to fit an existing model rather than the models being created to reflect nature.

* [page 10] Kuhn writes that new paradigms were created in the past by noted scientists for two reasons: 1) "their achievement was sufficiently unprecedented to attract an enduring group of adherents"; and 2) "it was sufficiently open-ended to leave all sorts of problems for the redefined group of practitioners to resolve.

o Here we get a good look at Kuhn's technique of omission. The two listed reasons are secondary. He leaves out the most important reason, namely that the new paradigm demonstrates a better fit to nature as it becomes more visible through new instrumentation.

* [page 53] Here Kuhn explains that any phenomena not yet explained by the paradigm theory, "is not quite a scientific fact at all."

o Again he way overstates the reality he himself as a student/teacher of physics knows. The examples of Fraunhofer lines and the orbit of Neptune are only two of a host of examples where the theory failed (for a time), but the findings were considered science.

* [page 94-95] Kuhn points out that in order to understand paradigm shift, we need to not only look at logic, and nature, but also "the techniques of persuasive argumentation". This is an interesting take, and worthy of philosophical study, but he goes on to say that "paradigm choice can never be unequivocally settled by logic and experiment alone."

o The counter examples to this are many. The one I like best is the paradigm shift to the Big Bang theory (articulated between the first and second editions of Kuhn's book). The scientific battle raged on from the 1920s to the 1960s with the two major schools of thought. In 1964, `cosmic background radiation' was discovered. That sealed the deal for the Big Bang. The opposition went silent. The battle was over. The new paradigm was crowned king and master over all scientific minds. But don't you know that it has its critics even to this day. This history illustrates three very important points: 1) Contrary to Kuhn's presentation, normal science went on in the field of astronomy during those years without a paradigm; 2) The final determination was based on experiment alone - not possible in Kuhn's theory; and 3) Normal science progresses in astronomy to this day with many scientists not bound by the prevailing paradigm - again an impossible situation given the hold a paradigm has on the minds of scientists according to Kuhn.

* [page 96] Here Kuhn hits his key premise right on the nose: New paradigms "demand the destruction of a prior paradigm".

o This is simply incorrect. We still study old paradigms as good approximations of how nature works. The Correspondence Principle requires all scientists working on a new paradigm to study, understand and use key parts of older paradigms. Steven Weinberg said it best in his review of The Structure of Scientific Revolutions.

"It is important to keep straight what does and what does not change in scientific revolutions, a distinction that is not made in Structure. There is a `hard' part of modern physical theories (`hard' meaning durable, like bones in paleontology). Then there is a `soft' part; it is the vision of reality that we use to explain to ourselves why the equations work. The soft part does change; we no longer believe in Maxwell's ether, and we know that there is more to nature than Newton's particles and forces. The changes in the soft part of scientific theories also produce changes in our understanding of the conditions under which the hard part is a good approximation. But after our theories reach their mature forms, their hard parts represent permanent accomplishments. We will go on teaching Maxwellian electrodynamics as long as there are scientists. I can't see any sense in which the increase in scope and accuracy of the hard parts of our theories is not a cumulative approach to truth."

o Goggle "The Revolution That Didn't Happen" by Steven Weinberg for a really good review of Kuhn's book by a Nobel Prize winning physicist who helped develop the Standard Model.

* [page 98] Kuhn writes "It is hard to see how new theories could arise without these destructive changes in beliefs about nature."

o It is not hard once you break the monolithic view of a paradigm shift into hard and soft components. A breakup demanded by an objective look at the history of scientific development.

* [page 103] Kuhn writes "Let us, therefore, now take it for granted that the differences between successive paradigms are both necessary and irreconcilable."

o It is true that they are necessary. Nature makes it necessary. For once it was discovered that the speed of light was a constant, a new paradigm was required because the old one had a variable speed of light. But the little that has been discussed in this book to this point does not allow us to `take it for granted' that new paradigms are irreconcilable with old ones. On the contrary, every attempt to do so has required a "one size fits all" explanation for paradigms that is not supported by history.

The only other way around Kuhn's assertion that `new paradigms are irreconcilable and incommensurate with and destroy past paradigms' would be to change what we mean when we say an old paradigm is destroyed. If the word `destruction' of an old paradigm allows for: 1) continuing to teach the old paradigm to all new scientists; 2) holding that the old paradigm provides the framework upon which to understand the new paradigm; 3) requiring that all new formula satisfy the equations of the old paradigm in the limit that corresponds to the old paradigm's applicability; and 4) praising the formulators of the old paradigm as providing the shoulders upon which new science has been built, then we can begin to give Kuhn's premise some credibility. But I am sure Kuhn used the common definition of `destroy', otherwise his book is meaningless.

A better way to look at paradigm shift is to see it for what it does: 1) it removes errors from past paradigms identified by discoveries enabled by improved instrumentation (not available during the development of the older paradigm), and 2) it adds theories to cover areas not accessible to the developers of older paradigms such as atomic structure made accessible via particle colliders, intense gravitational fields made accessible by x-ray observatories, and cell structure made available by electron microscopes.

* [page 109] Kuhn asserts that during arguments between supporters of competing paradigms, the winner revolves around questions like "Which problems is it more significant to have solved?" He does not permit physical measurements, experiments or scientific observations to play a significant role.

o As Kuhn continues to make this claim, it is enlightening to show the many counterexamples, but my space and time is running out.

* [page 115] Kuhn continues with the assertion that statements like "I was mistaken" when referring to past paradigms "does not recur in the aftermath of scientific revolutions."

o This is flatly not true. Science texts are replete with statements like `We were wrong when we thought that space was flat.' and `We were wrong when we thought that the Earth was fixed'. By this point in the book, the number of false statements is alarming.

* [page 119] Kuhn likes to compare Aristotle's rock on a string to Galileo's pendulum. When comparing Galileo to Aristotle, Kuhn writes "Descriptively, the Aristotelian perception is just as accurate." On page 128 he comes back to this with: it's the change in paradigm that "makes the swinging stone something else." The `something else' is the pendulum.

o This is a concrete example of what Kuhn was talking about when he said on page 111 that "What were ducks in the scientist's world before the revolution are rabbits afterwards." But it is measurements that made the difference, not just point of view as claimed.

o I think Kuhn's constant referral to Aristotle is telling. Kuhn refers to Aristotle throughout the book. It was his study of Aristotle the philosopher that created the epiphany that took him away from science and sent him on a decades long quest to find a way to give Aristotle's model equal footing to modern science's view of the world. This book review asks the question "Did he succeed?"

* [page 134] Here Kuhn uses his selected examples to show that scientists "beat nature into line" to fit the paradigms in vogue.

o For every example of a scientist falsifying data to fit a paradigm (global warming anyone?), there are literally thousands of examples all across mainstream science where the paradigm in vogue had to give way to the way nature actually works. Of course, his cherry picking is understandable. To cover the whole space in a systematic way would counter Kuhn's goal to show that scientific revolutions do not represent advancements in our knowledge about the world we exist in.

* [page 151] Continuing his argument, Kuhn needs to remove the concept of `proof' as an influencer over paradigm decisions: "paradigm decisions cannot be justified by proof."

o How about another example where it was indeed justified by proof. The germ theory for diseases was hotly contested for decades. But it was Louis Pasteur's laboratory research that provided the scientific proof for germ theory. Proof was provided and the argument ended. As a historian of science, Kuhn was familiar with this example.
o As we have seen throughout the annals of science, they are resolved by evidence - experimental and or observational, not philosophical.

* [page 153] At least Kuhn doesn't shrink from the implications of his theory. Here he acknowledges that, from his point of view, the Ptolemaic theory that the Earth is at the center of the solar system is "more reasonable but uniformly qualitative than competitors."

o For readers who get to page 153, this passage ought to raise alarm bells if nothing else has. In essence, Kuhn is saying that qualitative views of nature provided by philosophy are equal to or more reasonable than quantitative views of nature provided by science.

* [page 157] Having ruled out actual observations of nature as a reason for new paradigms, Kuhn needs to articulate a different reason. He writes "A decision of that kind can only be made on faith."

o Kuhn's arguments that reason and evidence are not the keys to paradigm shifts have been shown to be false. It follows that a jump to `faith' is not needed.

* [page 165 - 166] Here Kuhn is trying to show that scientific revolutions don't make progress. It's just that its believers say it is making progress. "Revolutions close with the total victory for one of the two opposing camps." The winners write the history. Future scientists are "like the typical character in Orwell's 1984, the victim of a history rewritten by the powers that be."

o We have come to understand Kuhn's opinion of scientists, but I prefer facts. Science is the study of nature. Scientific progress is measured by how close to the nature of nature we are getting. The proof is not in the books that say progress is being made. The proof is in the diseases cured, particles found, galaxies photographed, volcanic eruptions predicted, etc. The list of tangible accomplishments is growing every day.

On pages 166 - 167 Kuhn writes: "The very existence of science depends upon vesting the power to choose between paradigms in the members of a special kind of community." He goes on to describe the "tenuousness of humanity's hold on the scientific enterprise." In a 1991 interview with John Horgan from the Scientific American magazine, Kuhn said "There was a beginning to it. There are lots of societies that don't have it. It takes very special conditions to support it. Those social conditions are now getting harder to find. Of course it could end." I couldn't disagree more. As long as there are people interested in understanding how the world works, there will be science.

It has been over a half century since Kuhn published The Structure of Scientific Revolutions. The whole world has changed and now talks in terms of `paradigms'. And, for the most part, the book has persuaded some philosophy scholars that science is not cumulative and Aristotle's paradigm is just as valid as Einstein's. To this extent, Kuhn was influential. But this is relatively trivial compared to what he stated he wanted to change. His goal was to convince the world at large that "science is not a cumulative march over time towards understanding the true nature of nature."

Since the book's publication, science has launched great telescopes into outer space to see galaxies billions of light years away [See my free video book "How Far Away Is It" on YouTube.], and created huge particle colliders to see eliminatory particles undreamt of in the 1960s. These new instruments have revealed a world much bigger and much smaller than we have ever seen before. The list of discoveries alone would fill volumes. One of the side effects of all these new scientific discoveries is that science itself and the public at large more than ever hold to the understanding that science is on a march to the truth - totally at odds with Kuhn's stated goal. I take great comfort in this. The world feels like a safer place when I see facts triumphing over speculation.

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[R988.Ebook] PDF Download Earning the Rockies: How Geography Shapes America's Role in the World, by Robert D. Kaplan

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Earning the Rockies: How Geography Shapes America's Role in the World, by Robert D. Kaplan

An incisive portrait of the American landscape that shows how geography continues to determine America’s role in the world—from the bestselling author of The Revenge of Geography and Balkan Ghosts

As a boy, Robert D. Kaplan listened to his truck-driver father tell evocative stories about traveling across America in his youth, travels in which he learned to understand the country literally from the ground up. There was a specific phrase from Kaplan’s childhood that captured this perspective: A westward traveler must “earn the Rockies” by driving—not flying—across the flat Midwest and Great Plains.

In Earning the Rockies, Kaplan undertakes his own cross-country journey to recapture an appreciation of American geography often lost in the jet age. Traveling west, in the same direction as the pioneers, Kaplan traverses a rich and varied landscape that remains the primary source of American power. Along the way, he witnesses both prosperity and decline—increasingly cosmopolitan cities that thrive on globalization, impoverished towns denuded by the loss of manufacturing—and paints a bracingly clear picture of America today.

The history of westward expansion is examined here in a new light—as a story not just of genocide and individualism, but also of communalism and a respect for the limits of a water-starved terrain, a frontier experience that bent our national character toward pragmatism. Kaplan shows how the great midcentury works of geography and geopolitics by Bernard DeVoto, Walter Prescott Webb, and Wallace Stegner are more relevant today than ever before. Concluding his journey at Naval Base San Diego, Kaplan looks out across the Pacific Ocean to the next frontier: China, India, and the emerging nations of Asia. And in the final chapter, he provides a gripping description of an anarchic world and explains why America’s foreign policy response ought to be rooted in its own geographical situation.

In this short, intense meditation on the American landscape, Robert D. Kaplan reminds us of an overlooked source of American strength: the fact that we are a nation, empire, and continent all at once. Earning the Rockies is an urgent reminder of how a nation’s geography still foreshadows its future, and how we must reexamine our own landscape in order to confront the challenges that lie before us.

Praise for Earning the Rockies

“A text both evocative and provocative for readers who like to think . . . In his final sections, Kaplan discusses in scholarly but accessible detail the significant role that America has played and must play in this shuddering world.”—Kirkus Reviews

“Earning the Rockies is a brilliant reminder of the impact of America’s geography on its strategy. An essential complement to his previous work on the subject of geostrategy, Kaplan’s latest contribution should be required reading.”—Henry A. Kissinger

“Robert D. Kaplan uses America’s unique geography and frontier experience to provide a lens-changing vision of America’s role in the world, one that will capture your imagination. Unflinchingly honest, this refreshing approach shows how ideas from outside Washington, D.C., will balance America’s idealism and pragmatism in dealing with a changed world. A jewel of a book, Earning the Rockies lights the path ahead.”—General (Ret.) James Mattis

  • Sales Rank: #31209 in eBooks
  • Published on: 2017-01-24
  • Released on: 2017-01-24
  • Format: Kindle eBook

Review
Advance praise for Earning the Rockies

“A text both evocative and provocative for readers who like to think … In his final sections, Kaplan discusses in scholarly but accessible detail the significant role that America has played and must play in this shuddering world.”—Kirkus Reviews

“Earning the Rockies is a brilliant reminder of the impact of America’s geography on its strategy. An essential complement to his previous work on the subject of geostrategy, Kaplan’s latest contribution should be required reading.”—Henry A. Kissinger

“Robert D. Kaplan uses America’s unique geography and frontier experience to provide a lens-changing vision of America’s role in the world, one that will capture your imagination. Unflinchingly honest, this refreshing approach shows how ideas from outside Washington, D.C., will balance America’s idealism and pragmatism in dealing with a changed world. A jewel of a book, Earning the Rockies lights the path ahead.”—General (Ret.) James Mattis

“Earning the Rockies is a thoughtful, engrossing, eloquent reflection on the United States’ westward expansion to fill our continent—and on the implications of the resulting national character for the current debate about the proper role of America in the world. Here’s another masterpiece by Robert D. Kaplan.”—General (Ret.) David Petraeus

“Robert D. Kaplan has given us a great gift in this intelligent, engaging, and memorable book about America at home and abroad. Jefferson believed our national fate inextricably linked to the West; Kaplan shows us how true that remains all these years distant.”—Jon Meacham, Pulitzer Prize-winning author of American Lion: Andrew Jackson in the White House

“Any Robert D. Kaplan road trip is bound to be compelling, but Earning the Rockies is all the more so for crossing America. Like Kerouac and Tocqueville, Kaplan makes us see the country in a wholly new way. This concise classic is highly recommended.”—John Lewis Gaddis, Pulitzer Prize–winning author of George F. Kennan: An American Life

“What a fine, stimulating, energizing, and thoroughly original book . . . All diplomats and soldiers—indeed, all Americans with power or the hope of power—should read Robert D. Kaplan generally, and this slim volume particularly.”—Simon Winchester, New York Times bestselling author of Pacific: The Ocean of the Future

About the Author
Robert D. Kaplan is the author of over a dozen books on foreign affairs and travel, including Balkan Ghosts, Eastward to Tartary, and Warrior Politics.

William Dufris has been nominated nine times as a finalist for the APA's prestigious Audie Award and has garnered twenty-one Earphones Awards from AudioFile magazine, which also named him one of the Best Voices at the End of the Century. He has also acted on stage and television in the United States, the United Kingdom, and Germany.

Excerpt. © Reprinted by permission. All rights reserved.
I

Earning the Rockies

If I don’t remember my father’s name, who will?

My father’s name was Philip Alexander Kaplan. He was born in Brooklyn in 1909. I don’t recall him ever at peace with his life. I do remember him looking serene once at Valley Forge, among the oaks and maples and magnolias; clustered among the numerous birches and pine trees; and a second time among other hardwoods at Fredericksburg. These are trees I could not name when I was young but learned to identify on later visits to those hallowed sites, and to other sites on the Eastern Seaboard that the memory of my father inspired me to see. For it was only at such places, away from our immediate surroundings, that my father became real to me, and real to himself.

In particular, I remember him at Wheatland, James Buchanan’s handsome Federal-style home with the air of a southern plantation in Lancaster, Pennsylvania. There I peeked my chin over the protective barriers into sumptuous mid-nineteenth-century rooms, with their dark walnut desks and other antique furniture, along with the French china, glittering crystal, and gilded mirrors. Yes, I remember a grand piano there and many shadowy bookcases and lithographs. For long spans of my childhood my memory is vague, but it lights up with minute detail about what matters most to me. Wheatland, where President Buchanan lived, worked, headquartered his campaign for high office, and died, really mattered to me as a child. I was only nine, but my father in those rare moments spoke to me almost as though I were an adult, even as he was so full of tenderness.

My father laid out the fundamentals of Buchanan’s failure as president, perhaps the worst in our history: a story necessarily simplified for a nine-year-old. Of course, later in life I would fill in most of the details.

Whatever the multitude of factors in the three-way election of 1856, James Buchanan was by no means an accidental president. When he assumed office in March 1857, he appeared to have everything going for him. Arguably, no man in the country was better qualified for the task of calming the festering North-South split over slavery. He was a tall, reasonably wealthy, self-made, and imposing figure, someone who, aside from being a bachelor, was truly good at life: a former congressman, senator, minister to Russia in the Andrew Jackson administration, secretary of state in the James K. Polk administration, and minister to Great Britain in the Franklin Pierce administration; a talented and accomplished operator, a man of maneuver gifted at the fine art of compromise despite his stubbornness. He knew what buttons to push, in other words. Who else was possessed of the political savvy necessary to save the Union? Few were shrewder. Except for one thing, as it would turn out: Buchanan did not have a compass point toward which to navigate in the midst of all the deals he tried to make, and he had a distinct and fatal sympathy for the South. But mostly he was all ambition and technique without direction. Moreover, he was a literalist. He had a small vision of the Constitution and the frontier nation: he did not believe he and the federal government had the right to dictate terms to the southern states. He saw the good in both the pro-slavery and anti-slavery points of view. With his legalistic flair, he might have made a very competent president in more ordinary times; he was a disaster in extraordinary times. The country finally came apart under his watch. “It turned out, he just, ehhh, didn’t have what it takes,” a father whispered to a nine-year-old boy at Wheatland.

The basic security of the world in the twentieth and early twenty-first centuries has depended greatly upon the political unity of the temperate zone of North America. And that almost didn’t happen. It was my knowledge of both Buchanan’s many gifts and his abject personal failure as president—a knowledge first granted me by my father—that provided me with a deeper awareness of just how difficult making epochal decisions in the moment of crisis can be. It was this very awareness about Buchanan—how good he looked at the beginning of his administration and how bad he turned out—that always made me think later in life, Thank God we had Lincoln. What Buchanan ultimately lacked, despite his résumé, Lincoln had in abundance: character.

But Buchanan’s failure was secondary in my father’s eyes that day at Wheatland; primary was the fact that Buchanan was, nevertheless, part of the vital tapestry of American history. Therefore, he was well worth knowing about. Great presidents cannot be understood in isolation; one requires knowledge of the not-great presidents who preceded and succeeded them. Indeed, we need always to see history as a whole, we cannot appreciate the good without knowing the bad, and vice versa. This is especially true of westward expansion. Wheatland made America’s past come alive for me.

It was at a hotel in Lancaster during that same trip that my parents bought me a volume of American travel articles written in easy Reader’s Digest style, suited to my age. One story was about a family driving west and stopping for breakfast at a diner somewhere in Nebraska perhaps, on the Great Plains (or the Great American Desert as it was once known), anticipating the sight of the Rocky Mountains, where they were headed. “You have to earn the Rockies,” the father says to his wife and children, in my piercing if inaccurate childhood recollection of the story, by driving across the flat Midwest and Plains. Perhaps it was “meet the challenge of the Rockies.” In any case, earn the Rockies is a phrase that has stayed with me my whole life. It sums up America’s continental geography, the continent that Lincoln united and realized, and the significance of the Rocky Mountains as a geographical fact that should only be encountered by first crossing the Eastern Seaboard, the Middle West, and the Great American Desert, for that was the way that they were encountered in all their sudden and terrifying magnificence by European settlers and pathfinders, those who could not have known what exactly lay over the horizon.

Throughout my childhood I yearned to see mountains higher than the Appalachians. As a family, we never left the eastern states. The Rockies were just too far, and my parents simply lacked the means, though my father talked about them often. The phrase earn the Rockies helped spur me to travel, something also instilled in me by my father since I can remember.

My mother and father took me on that trip through Pennsylvania in 1962. Alaska and Hawaii had only recently been admitted to the Union. The United States back then, for a while yet, still thought of itself as only a continental nation, stretching, according to both the song and the cliché, from sea to shining sea. To this day, Alaskans refer to the rest of the country as “the Lower 48,” meaning the contiguous forty-eight states that constitute the temperate zone of North America. Arizona was the last of the Lower 48, admitted to the Union only in 1912, a little closer in time to that trip through Pennsylvania than that trip through Pennsylvania was to the moment at which I write.

America was a different country then, vaster and emptier. Valley Forge was not in the suburbs of Greater Philadelphia as it is now, nor Fredericksburg near the suburbs of Greater Washington, D.C. Food was more distinctive—with far fewer chain restaurants and grits widespread in eating facilities just south of the nation’s capital. People drove and rode buses, or hitchhiked across America—as I did in the summer of 1970—much more often than they flew. The Interstate Highway System was spanking new, and thus the Pennsylvania Turnpike and New York State Thruway constituted exotic experiences, with rest stops offering sit-down dining with waiters and waitresses. Those magical highways could transport you from the Atlantic Seaboard all the way to the very rim of the Midwest! The East Coast was much more of an adventure then than it is now. And there were few crowds anywhere.

It had its dark side, though. I remember stopping for lunch with my parents at a restaurant called Lowery’s in Tappahannock, Virginia. It was the spring of 1964, just a few months before the Civil Rights Act, and we were returning north from a visit to the Yorktown Battlefield. There was a sign at the entrance as we opened the door: “Whites Only.” I saw my parents look uneasily at each other, something that communicated fear to an eleven-year-old boy. We went inside, ate quietly, and noticed everyone glancing at us. It was clear that we were not locals and therefore not entirely welcome.

Those trips were the gemstones of my childhood. It is in the midst of recalling them that I cherish the memory of my parents the most. Returning from those trips I was able to see, as though a shocked outsider, the grainy, almost black-and-white surroundings of our home in Queens: the sooty fire escape and other blockhouse apartments were the only view from the stifling kitchen where we ate. Because of the clash between where we had been and where we lived, those early travels, I believe, burdened me with something I was never entirely comfortable with: a cruel objectivity. In the morning we had been at Wheatland seeing the feast of glittering greenery outside James Buchanan’s mansion; that same night we were back in our apartment, hearing the yelling of our neighbors in other apartments. Seeing the wider world, if only a glimpse of it, had come with a price. I learned early that comparison is painful and not always polite, but it is at the root of all serious analysis.

My father was a truck driver with a high school education who listened to classical music on WQXR while breezing through the New York Times Sunday and weekday crossword puzzles. He had a small record collection that included the patriotic band music of John Philip Sousa and the hits of Al Jolson, mixed with a little Stephen Foster. It was music that took you from the mid-nineteenth century to the first decades of the twentieth, telegraphing the country’s latent dynamism as it crept toward World War II. There was also in this singular and awkward repertoire the haunting twangs of Ferde Grofé’s Grand Canyon Suite from 1931, with their hopeful intimations of travel. In the 1960s, my father was decades behind his time. As I grew into middle age, I realized how grateful I was for it.

In the spring of 1961, my father took my family, including my older brother and a cousin, on a trip to Washington, D.C. It was particularly memorable because on the second night he got us tickets to hear the Marine Band play Sousa at Constitution Hall. Between such transformative moments—Wheatland, the Marine Band—was the weeping undertow of my childhood: every late afternoon, my father, hunched over the unmade bed that was visible from the windows of apartment houses directly across, tying the laces on his work boots, lost briefly in a trance, preparing for another night of driving in the partial wasteland of Brooklyn. Facing him in the bedroom was his small collection of books, two shelves actually. I remember The Conquest of Everest by Sir John Hunt (1954), Beyond the High Himalayas by William O. Douglas (1952), Jefferson the Virginian by Dumas Malone (1948), and one he had just bought, and that he anticipated reading: Travels with Charley: In Search of America by John Steinbeck (1962).

In the 1930s my father had spent his twenties riding railway cars around the United States, earning a living as a horse-racing tout in forty-three of the lower forty-eight states. After a “big score” he would check into a first-class hotel, a large cigar in hand: twenty-four hours later, he would be living a hobo’s existence like so many others in the 1930s. He filled me with stories of his escapades in Depression-era America, and of the predominant image of a still-pastoral and naïve nation, where the scams he ran were relatively innocent and people bought you a meal when you were down and out. I have a picture of him, powerful in the way of a photo negative, with a jacket and tie and sharp fedora, wearing a confident smile with which I could never associate him when I was a child, taken at the Texas State Fair in Dallas: the year “1933” emblazoned above him.

Beulah Park (Columbus, Ohio), Arlington Downs (Dallas–Fort Worth), Churchill Downs, where he watched Bold Venture win the Kentucky Derby in 1936—my father knew literally every racetrack in the country. There were Houston and New Orleans in the winter of 1933–34; by freight train (the Union Pacific) from Pittsburgh to Chicago to Las Vegas the following year; sick, broke, back on his feet. It was an epic existence, however aimless, seedy, and pathetic at the edges, as well as full of exaggeration in the telling.

My father’s last memory of travel was in 1942. He had just completed basic training at Fort Polk, Louisiana, and was heading north on a troop train for dispatch to Europe, where he would serve in the U.S. Army Eighth Air Force in England. At a rail junction near Cairo, Illinois, the sun was setting in rich colors over the prairie. Other trains were then converging from several tracks onto a single line that would take the troops to points along the East Coast, where ships to Europe awaited. Across a wide arc, the only thing he saw were trains and more trains, with soldiers looking out through every window as each train curved toward the others against a flat and limitless landscape lit red by the sun. “Just looking at that scene, that’s the moment when I knew we were going to win the war,” he said to me, smiling briefly at the recollection as he completed tying his shoelaces.

My first map of the United States was composed of my father’s images. It was a landscape full of lessons and marvels that I desperately wanted to experience firsthand. The flat prairie was something I never imagined as dull but, rather, as an immense and magnificent prelude to something grander. I thank my father for that. And thus I would make several journeys from coast to coast: once in my late teens, hitchhiking, fueled with curiosity, obsessed with just seeing the West; then as a middle-aged journalist, writing about social, regional, and environmental issues; and now, finally, in my middle sixties, somewhat chastened by international events, hoping to learn something about America’s place in the world by simply looking at the country around me.

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1 of 1 people found the following review helpful.
Reads like a travel log..
By ed dieringer
I listened to an I interview of this author. It was wonderful. The book however was not as enjoyable. Many of his reflections a somewhat romantic and a bit too rosy only to be contradicted with a contrasting, darker view a few lines or pages later. The author doesn't seem to take note of the contradiction it presents. This could be just what a travel log is about, though; go exploring and see what you find...what the experience does to enrich you. You are bound to find contrasts and your past will certainly color your views. But, your life will be richer for it. This author may give you a new and important perspective that hasn't occurred to you.

4 of 5 people found the following review helpful.
A case for America's duty to lead the world as a result of its unique geography
By Reed P.
Fascinating. A very different perspective on the genesis of the Trump revolution on US politics without ever mentioning that directly. Kaplan takes the reader on a road trip across America, meeting and chatting with locals all the way. He introduces historical perspectives into each town or region he visits, helping the reader appreciate the perspective of the locals. All this is to say that he sounds a sincere alert that the population of the broad middle of our great country is necessarily preoccupied by its economic travails, to the point that crucial and existentially important foreign affairs are essentially ignored in their lives. The implication? The election results of 2016 occurred, albeit after the book was published. Kaplan seems to have foreseen this ahead of many of the Eastern elite. A great read ...

35 of 38 people found the following review helpful.
What the heck happened in November?
By T. J. Mathews
There are memoirs of road trips that are guaranteed to stand the test of time; Francis Parkman’s 'The Oregon Trail', John Steinbeck’s 'Travels with Charley', Jack Kerouac’s 'On the Road', and Ernesto Guevara’s 'The Motorcycle Diaries' to name just a few. Robert D. Kaplan’s latest book describing his journey through the heartland of the United States in 2015 just as the primary season for the recent election was getting under way is probably not one of those. But in its own way, Earning the Rockies: American Ground and the Fate of Empire is just as important a book. Kaplan took his trip during a defining moment in American history and through keen observations provided invaluable insights into the story behind the most mindboggling political upset in American history.

Kaplan, inspired by his father’s tales of travel and the books of Harpers’ columnist Bernard DeVoto (Don’t worry. I hadn’t heard of him before either.), set out to find America by retracing a journey he took as a young man in 1970. This time, he sought to gain an understanding of how geography shapes America and makes us Americans who we are. In doing so, he linked his journey westward with that of America’s journey west over the centuries. Although ‘manifest destiny’ and ‘American exceptionalism’ are terms often heard in conjunction with discussions about f imperialism, Kaplan holds that the rigors of westward migration and the land itself forged and molded those who challenged the frontier and continue to shape and define them today.

Kaplan’s journey began in the spring of 2015, just as the Republican primary with its vast herd of presidential wannabes was getting started. His strategy included spending a good deal of time in in restaurants and coffee shops, just listening to the conversations that swirled around him. His logic was that while people may adopt a pose when speaking with strangers in general and journalists in particular, they speak most openly when in the company of friends and family in a non-threatening environment. One thing that surprised him was that although the televisions were constantly blaring political and international news, these were seldom the topic of conversations. Talk was more likely to be about ‘work, family, health and sheer economic survival’. What was happening on the TV was just noise to them. The real drama was playing out right there in the room with them. As Kaplan pointed out, “Frontiers test ideologies like nothing else. There is no time for the theoretical…Idealized concepts have rarely taken firm root in America. People here are too busy making money — an extension of the frontier ethos, with its emphasis on practical initiative.”

Perhaps even more than what he heard, Kaplan was deeply affected by what he saw as he crossed the country. Many cities and towns were dying. In cities like Wheeling, West Virginia, and even Springfield, the capitol if Illinois, one was more likely to encounter empty streets and boarded up shops than indications of a healthy economy. Cities that once housed a vibrant middle class now have only a struggling working class that is teetering on the brink of poverty. Automation and globalization have gutted the mining and manufacturing industries that many communities relied on for their economic existence. Kaplan also attributed this decline to what he called the growth of ‘flashy and sprawling city-states, often anchored to great universities’ such as Chicago, Austin, or Raleigh-Durham with its Research Triangle. These urban centers offered jobs and opportunities for young people and stripped places like Wheeling of any chance that an ambitious future generation will stay and turn things around.

“I will not see very much of the middle class in my journey at all. This thing that the politicians love to talk about has already slipped from our grasp. I will encounter elegant people in designer restaurants and many, many others whose appearance indicates they have in some important ways just given up — even as they are everywhere unfailingly polite and have not, contrary to their appearance and my first impressions of them, lost their self-respect. The populist impulses apparent in the presidential campaign following my journey in early 2015 obviously emanate from the instability of their economic situation, suggesting the anger that resides just beneath the surface of their politeness."

And this, more than anything else, is the crux of the issue when it comes to Donald Trump. Per Kaplan,
"Trump represents a sort of antipolitics: a primal scream against the political elite for not connecting with people on the ground, and for insufficiently improving their lives. People trapped in their own worries as life becomes ever more complex, are simply alienated. And that alienation is registered in a taste for populist politicians."
What is the value of preaching diversity to a community that has none, or trade deals to a town whose local market has closed because it couldn’t compete with a Wal-Mart thirty miles away? Much of the world that these people yearn for is gone and they know it isn’t coming back. But still if a politician comes to their town and says “I here you, and I am with you,” don’t you think that they will be tempted to believe in him, even if deep down they know better?

For better or worse, the genie of globalism is out of the bottle. While there are many benefits to a global economy, there are also areas of concern.

“ the weakness of global culture is that, having psychologically disconnected itself from any specific homeland, it has no terrain to defend or to fight for, and therefore no anchoring beliefs beyond the latest fashion or media craze. And so we unravel into the world. And the more disconnected we become from our territorial roots, the greater the danger of artificially restructuring American in more severe and ideological form, so that we risk radicalization at home. "

Bottom line: Of all the books And articles that I have read recently in hopes of gaining an understanding of what the hell happened in November, this comes closest to giving me an answer. No, we are not a nation of racist misogynists. What we are is a nation of people who once in a while would like to believe that the powers that be are listening to us. If we believe that all politicians lie, then why not vote for the one whose lies tell us what we want to hear? Perhaps, as the saying goes, you really can fool all of the people some of the time.

*Quotations are cited from an advanced reading copy and may not be the same as appears in the final published edition. The review was based on an advanced reading copy obtained at no cost from the publisher in exchange for an unbiased review. While this does take any ‘not worth what I paid for it’ statements out of my review, it otherwise has no impact on the content of my review.

FYI: On a 5-point scale I assign stars based on my assessment of what the book needs in the way of improvements:
*5 Stars – Nothing at all. If it ain’t broke, don’t fix it.
*4 Stars – It could stand for a few tweaks here and there but it’s pretty good as it is.
*3 Stars – A solid C grade. Some serious rewriting would be needed in order for this book to be considered great or memorable.
*2 Stars – This book needs a lot of work. A good start would be to change the plot, the character development, the writing style and the ending.
*1 Star - The only thing that would improve this book is a good bonfire.

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The Cosmic Deck of Initiation by Barbara M. DeLong is a deck of 52 circular mandala cards. These cards represent the geometrical forms of universal energies and truths. Readings with this deck reveal the energy patterns impacting you at a given time. Each card shows a different colorful mandala pattern with the name of the energy in the border. There are two non-colored guardian angel cards. The Cosmic Deck of Initiation is out of print, but some decks are available. Cards: Foundation, Sower of Seeds, Giver of Light, Healer Within, Free Spirit, Inner Vision, Crown, Evolution, Commitment, Laughter, Initiation, Law of Life, Law of Continuity, Law of Compensation, Law of Attraction, Law of Frequency, Law of Limitation, Law of Free Will, Law of Transmutation, Law of Cause and Effect, Law of Karma, Golden Rule, Universal Love, Universal Healing, Universal Balance, Universal Forgiveness, Universal Compassion, Universal Wisdom, Universal Abundance, Universal Harmony, Universal Freedom, Universal Truth, Universal Spirituality, Aires, Taurus, Gemini, Cancer, Leo, Virgo, Libra, Scorpio, Sagittarius, Capricorn, Aquarius, Pisces, Unity, Duality, Trinity, Guardian Angel (2 cards), Miracle, Threshold Suit Names: no suits Court Cards: no court cards

  • Sales Rank: #2296248 in Books
  • Dimensions: 1.02" h x 4.86" w x 4.87" l,
  • Binding: Misc. Supplies
  • 52 pages

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